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Red78
436020.8
306137.4
613230.6
Blue61
1047419.8
704112.1
253122.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74752040601001207861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
52Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points6
78Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.6
37.336.8
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 14.6
2531
#24
22.81.1
24.123.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
6132
#18
30.60.6
18.317.7
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2
red by 10.8
19.83.1
19.816.7
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Third
4360
#16
20.80.6
15.414.8
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 8.8
7041
#48
12.11.1
17.816.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed