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Red43
704819.3
305418.2
453122.4
Blue29
533916.9
245018.7
441818.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7070304050604329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
22Total teleop11
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points6
43Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#13
22.42.7
24.521.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
red by 3.7
2450
#37
18.74.2
20.416.1
Auto2.3
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Second
7048
#34
19.32.7
20.017.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
red by 0.7
4418
#44
18.64.2
22.918.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Third
3054
#26
18.22.7
17.114.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 1.4
5339
#51
16.94.2
17.713.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed