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Qual 522025 Northern Lights Regional
Red90
702132.8
369116.7
675831.1
Blue141
613230.6
704819.3
11161.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610020406012014016090141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
10Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#17
40Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
66Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
90Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#23
32.80.1
31.8→31.9
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 28.9
111
#2
61.74.7
50.5→55.2
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
Second
6758
#28
31.10.1
24.1→24.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 0.5
6132
#18
30.64.7
20.9→25.6
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2
Third
3691
#45
16.70.1
22.4→22.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 2.6
7048
#34
19.34.7
15.7→20.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned