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Red88
591342.9
423029.2
604710.8
Blue84
297712.2
416610.4
462319.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105330501508884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
55Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points36
88Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.2
42.943.1
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
red by 23.2
4623
#36
19.71.3
16.017.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Second
4230
#17
29.20.2
31.231.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
red by 17.0
2977
#42
12.21.3
11.312.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
6047
#27
10.80.2
12.312.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
red by 0.4
4166
#54
10.41.3
9.110.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned