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Red91
453122.4
253122.8
141025.5
Blue111
388325.8
205242.1
171619.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610020406012014016091111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
76Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
91Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#47
25.51.2
24.525.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
blue by 16.5
42.11.7
41.242.9
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
2531
#24
22.81.2
23.624.7
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 3.0
3883
#19
25.81.7
26.428.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Third
4531
#13
22.41.2
21.122.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
red by 3.0
1716
#30
19.41.7
16.818.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned