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Red85
1017321.9
436020.8
400935.5
Blue88
459339.4
217718.1
245018.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737040506080901001108588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
62Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
10Foul points6
85Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#38
35.51.5
27.429.0
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
blue by 4.0
39.42.5
30.232.7
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
21.91.5
14.916.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 3.2
2450
#37
18.72.5
17.419.9
Auto2.3
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Third
4360
#16
20.81.5
19.020.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
red by 2.7
2177
#32
18.12.5
11.914.4
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed