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Red49
569028.1
251216.9
304211.2
Blue88
247234.0
1047419.8
523222.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577720401001201404988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+43
Endgame+47
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +40
4Coral scored#14
16Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
30Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
8Foul points0
49Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#20
28.11.6
25.223.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.4
End1.1
blue by 5.9
34.02.1
27.429.5
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
Second
2512
#35
16.91.6
16.915.4
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 5.4
5232
#15
22.32.1
20.122.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
Third
3042
#41
11.21.6
13.011.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End2.0
blue by 8.6
19.82.1
21.423.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed