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Red66
223923.5
25138.3
181635.1
Blue78
229031.1
297712.2
613230.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7965020401001201406678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
41Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
66Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#12
35.10.7
31.430.8
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End7.7
red by 4.0
31.11.1
22.023.1
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Second
2239
#49
23.50.7
23.823.2
Auto3.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
blue by 7.1
6132
#18
30.61.1
25.626.8
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2
Third
2513
#52
8.30.7
13.713.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 3.9
2977
#42
12.21.1
12.613.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned