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Red73
423029.2
704819.3
306137.4
Blue22
616013.6
11216.7
302311.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145201001507322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+25Teleop
+39Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
27Total teleop10
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
12Foul points0
73Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.43.6
41.337.7
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 20.8
112
#46DQ
16.73.1
18.315.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Second
4230
#17
29.23.6
31.327.8
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
red by 15.6
6160
#39
13.63.1
14.911.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Third
7048
#34
19.33.6
20.416.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
red by 8.0
3023
#50
11.33.1
17.013.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed