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Red99
675831.1
238336.8
462319.7
Blue72
421518.5
416610.4
533916.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8644020601001201409972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
69Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points18
99Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.82.9
31.033.9
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 18.3
4215
#29
18.51.1
19.220.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Second
6758
#28
31.12.9
24.227.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 14.2
5339
#51
16.91.1
14.615.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
Third
4623
#36
19.72.9
17.320.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.9
red by 9.3
4166
#54
10.41.1
10.411.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed