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Red54
604415.1
704112.1
572015.2
Blue95
525328.8
591342.9
321214.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349702060801201401605495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
34Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
54Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5720
#53
15.20.5
16.517.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 27.6
42.90.4
43.142.6
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
Second
6044
#40
15.10.5
12.312.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 13.7
5253
#33
28.80.4
23.623.2
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
Third
7041
#48
12.10.5
9.39.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
blue by 2.0
3212
#21
14.10.4
14.914.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned