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Red86
642025.0
702132.8
388325.8
Blue102
247234.0
436020.8
251216.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92682040608010012014086102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
55Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
1L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points18
86Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7021
#23
32.80.5
29.929.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 1.2
34.01.6
29.531.1
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
Second
3883
#19
25.80.5
28.127.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
red by 5.0
4360
#16
20.81.6
20.522.1
Auto2.7
Teleop16.8
End1.3
Third
6420
#14
25.00.5
24.323.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.6
red by 8.1
2512
#35
16.91.6
15.417.0
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned