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Red153
523222.3
11161.7
229031.1
Blue113
217718.1
453122.4
400935.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157020406080100140160180153113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#21
75Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
107Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#7
10L3#6
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
153Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
61.73.9
53.357.2
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
red by 26.2
4009
#38
35.53.4
29.032.3
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
Second
31.13.9
23.127.1
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
red by 8.7
4531
#13
22.43.4
22.325.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
Third
5232
#15
22.33.9
22.226.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
red by 4.2
2177
#32
18.13.4
14.417.7
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed