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Red26
302311.3
171619.4
25138.3
Blue38
305418.2
245018.7
616013.6
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051203040607080902638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
4Coral scored#5
13Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
13Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
26Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1716
#30
19.42.0
18.516.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
red by 0.8
2450
#37
18.71.2
19.918.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.9
End2.4
Second
3023
#50
11.32.0
13.811.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End1.8
blue by 7.0
3054
#26
18.21.2
17.716.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
2513
#52
8.32.0
13.011.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 5.3
6160
#39
13.61.2
11.810.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed