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Red60
369116.7
1047419.8
52535.6
Blue122
423029.2
205242.1
181635.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7811420406010014016060122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+52
Fouls+62
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +36
6Coral scored#12
22Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
36Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#2
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
2Foul points12
60Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#11
35.61.8
32.630.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
blue by 6.5
42.10.9
42.943.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
Second
19.81.8
23.521.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End1.1
blue by 15.3
1816
#12
35.10.9
30.831.6
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End7.7
Third
3691
#45
16.71.8
19.017.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.1
End2.9
blue by 12.5
4230
#17
29.20.9
27.828.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned