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Red125
181635.1
247234.0
702132.8
Blue90
616013.6
171619.4
400935.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066120408012014012590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
24Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#15
63Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
87Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
125Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#12
35.12.9
31.634.5
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End7.7
blue by 0.4
4009
#38
35.52.9
32.335.3
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
Second
34.02.9
31.134.0
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
red by 14.6
1716
#30
19.42.9
16.519.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.2
End2.1
Third
7021
#23
32.82.9
29.432.2
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
red by 19.2
6160
#39
13.62.9
10.613.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed