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Qual 722025 Northern Lights Regional
Red83
321214.1
297712.2
459339.4
Blue76
462319.7
572015.2
704819.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665902040801001208376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
56Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points2
83Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4593
#8
39.42.3
32.7→35.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
red by 19.7
4623
#36
19.72.1
20.3→22.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End1.9
Second
3212
#21
14.12.3
14.4→16.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 5.2
7048
#34
19.32.1
16.9→18.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End3.6
Third
2977
#42
12.22.3
13.7→16.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 3.1
5720
#53
15.22.1
17.1→19.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed