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Red66
421518.5
704112.1
1017321.9
Blue107
224047.5
250123.4
533916.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479902040608012014016066107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+57
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +53
6Coral scored#18
23Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
37Total teleop90
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#26
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
66Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.9
16.417.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 25.6
47.51.5
44.546.0
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End0.9
Second
4215
#29
18.50.9
20.321.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End3.2
blue by 4.8
2501
#22
23.41.5
20.722.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Third
7041
#48
12.10.9
9.810.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
blue by 4.8
5339
#51
16.91.5
15.717.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed