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Red110
253122.8
604710.8
306137.4
Blue97
604415.1
675831.1
525328.8
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8574406010012011097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
76Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
12Foul points2
110Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.1
37.739.8
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 6.3
6758
#28
31.12.8
27.129.9
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Second
2531
#24
22.82.1
24.726.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 6.0
5253
#33
28.82.8
23.225.9
Auto3.3
Teleop22.9
End2.6
Third
6047
#27
10.82.1
9.111.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
blue by 4.3
6044
#40
15.12.8
12.915.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned