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Red70
251216.9
245018.7
238336.8
Blue90
305418.2
229031.1
423029.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76796065708590951007090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points58
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
45Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
70Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.1
34.934.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
red by 5.8
31.11.7
27.128.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End2.9
Second
2450
#37
18.70.1
18.718.7
Auto2.3
Teleop13.9
End2.4
blue by 10.5
4230
#17
29.21.7
28.730.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Third
2512
#35
16.90.1
17.016.9
Auto2.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
blue by 1.3
3054
#26
18.21.7
16.518.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed