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Qual 762025 Northern Lights Regional
Red55
25138.3
591342.9
253122.8
Blue130
52535.6
11161.7
441818.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711940608010014016018055130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+57
Endgame+77
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +50
7Coral scored#15
24Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
38Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
2Foul points0
55Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#4
42.92.7
43.6→40.8
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
blue by 18.8
111
#2
61.72.5
57.2→59.7
Auto15.1
Teleop36.0
End10.6
Second
2531
#24
22.82.7
26.9→24.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 12.8
525
#11
35.62.5
30.8→33.3
Auto5.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Third
2513
#52
8.32.7
11.0→8.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.7
blue by 10.3
4418
#44
18.62.5
16.1→18.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned