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Red71
304211.2
250123.4
306137.4
Blue59
604710.8
141025.5
533916.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90582040801001201407159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +4
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points30
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
38Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points6
71Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.2
39.838.6
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 11.9
1410
#47
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End3.3
Second
2501
#22
23.41.2
22.321.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End4.9
red by 6.5
5339
#51
16.90.4
17.316.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End-0.0
Third
3042
#41
11.21.2
12.411.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 0.4
6047
#27
10.80.4
11.210.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed