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Red80
704112.1
11216.7
675831.1
Blue21
572015.2
523222.3
297712.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627002040801001201408021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+49Endgame
+59Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
41Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#4
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
10Foul points0
80Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6758
#28
31.11.4
29.931.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
red by 8.8
5232
#15
22.33.9
26.222.3
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
Second
112
#46
16.71.4
14.716.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
red by 1.4
5720
#53
15.23.9
19.115.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Third
7041
#48
12.11.4
10.712.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End5.6
blue by 0.1
2977
#42
12.23.9
16.012.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed