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Red103
205242.1
306137.4
423029.2
Blue63
388325.8
253122.8
453122.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13283406010012014016018010363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+60Teleop
+50Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
13Coral scored#4
48Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
68Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +40
8Foul points18
103Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.5
43.342.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.4
End8.7
red by 16.3
3883
#19
25.80.9
27.126.2
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Second
37.40.5
38.638.1
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 14.6
2531
#24
22.80.9
24.123.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
4230
#17
29.20.5
30.429.9
Auto4.4
Teleop20.4
End4.3
red by 6.8
4531
#13
22.40.9
23.722.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8