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Red121
523222.3
247234.0
249142.9
Blue101
675831.1
400935.5
459339.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10611780100140160121101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+32Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +46
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points28
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
96Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
121Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#10
42.90.6
42.843.4
Auto10.2
Teleop31.7
End1.0
red by 3.4
39.40.3
39.639.3
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
34.00.6
34.034.5
Auto4.0
Teleop27.7
End2.4
blue by 1.4
4009
#38
35.50.3
35.335.0
Auto6.5
Teleop26.1
End3.0
Third
5232
#15
22.30.6
22.322.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.4
End1.8
blue by 8.8
6758
#28
31.10.3
31.331.0
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0