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Red58
388325.8
253122.8
453122.4
Blue83
675831.1
642025.0
459339.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011040601001201401601805883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
33Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
58Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#19
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.0
End6.6
blue by 13.6
39.40.4
39.338.9
Auto11.4
Teleop26.1
End1.9
Second
2531
#24
22.80.4
23.222.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 8.3
6758
#28
31.10.4
31.030.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Third
4531
#13
22.40.4
22.822.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End0.8
blue by 2.6
6420
#14
25.00.4
25.425.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.6