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Red87
702132.8
181635.1
11216.7
Blue123
613230.6
238336.8
591342.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111940608010014016087123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
63Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
87Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#12
35.10.2
35.235.1
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End7.7
blue by 7.8
42.90.4
40.240.7
Auto7.3
Teleop28.0
End7.6
Second
7021
#23
32.80.2
33.032.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End5.8
blue by 4.0
36.80.4
34.234.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.9
End8.7
Third
112
#46
16.70.2
16.816.7
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 14.0
6132
#18
30.60.4
28.028.4
Auto4.7
Teleop20.7
End5.2