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Red113
702847.8
329124.0
723518.8
Blue151
329427.1
87652.2
320630.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91906080100120140113151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
12Processor points18
8Net points28
20Algae points46
90Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points20
113Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#20
47.82.2
39.541.7
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
blue by 4.4
876
#1
52.23.6
37.441.0
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
Second
3291
#44
24.02.2
19.021.2
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
blue by 5.9
3206
#15
30.03.6
22.626.2
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
Third
7235
#45
18.82.2
19.021.2
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 8.3
3294
#24
27.13.6
21.324.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned