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Red71
670928.9
310043.0
1049016.9
Blue53
703813.3
130630.2
327728.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77722040601001207153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
0Processor points6
20Net points8
20Algae points14
49Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
71Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#10
43.00.7
22.823.6
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
red by 12.8
1306
#19
30.21.4
20.419.0
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
6709
#23
28.90.7
23.924.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
red by 0.3
3277
#31
28.51.4
25.223.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.5
End2.3
Third
16.91.7
16.918.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.3
red by 3.6
7038
#54
13.31.4
19.918.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed