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Red60
703813.3
214333.8
723518.8
Blue81
621716.0
761926.4
130630.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71830501001502006081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
43Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points12
60Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#11
33.80.8
28.928.1
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
red by 3.5
1306
#19
30.20.7
19.018.3
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
7235
#45
18.80.8
17.016.2
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 7.5
7619
#21
26.40.7
27.927.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
Third
7038
#54
13.30.8
18.517.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 2.8
6217
#37
16.00.7
26.125.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned