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Red97
469316.4
812229.2
265421.6
Blue82
252627.6
418123.5
590335.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82816570758590951009782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
68Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
97Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#34
29.20.8
29.230.0
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0
blue by 6.2
5903
#33
35.40.0
27.127.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
Second
2654
#30
21.60.8
24.225.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 6.0
2526
#42
27.60.0
24.024.0
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Third
4693
#27
16.40.8
18.519.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 7.1
4181
#41
23.50.0
20.320.3
Auto5.1
Teleop17.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed