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Red147
130630.2
842235.2
614743.3
Blue111
460745.1
621716.0
702847.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82126050100150200147111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
91Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#5
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
147Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.37.2
35.042.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
blue by 4.5
7028
#20
47.80.0
39.539.5
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
Second
35.27.2
22.629.9
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
blue by 10.0
45.10.0
41.141.1
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
Third
1306
#19
30.27.2
18.325.5
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
red by 14.2
6217
#37
16.00.0
25.425.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed