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Red70
310043.0
582626.3
329124.0
Blue81
642120.7
761926.4
631815.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877202040601001201401607081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
59Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
70Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#10
43.00.8
27.126.4
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
red by 16.7
7619
#21
26.41.5
27.128.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
Second
5826
#38
26.30.8
24.723.9
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
red by 5.6
6421
#47
20.71.5
23.424.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Third
3291
#44
24.00.8
19.819.0
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
red by 8.1
6318
#43
15.91.5
11.012.5
Auto1.7
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed