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Red97
451117.9
282323.0
252627.6
Blue105
284762.8
723518.8
401117.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7978406010012097105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+2Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
85Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
97Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#42
27.60.9
21.722.6
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
blue by 35.2
62.82.9
32.135.0
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
Second
2823
#51
23.00.9
24.825.7
Auto3.7
Teleop18.3
End1.0
red by 4.1
7235
#45
18.82.9
16.219.0
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
Third
4511
#50
17.90.9
18.219.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.5
red by 0.6
4011
#49
17.32.9
22.024.8
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned