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Red125
320630.0
467431.4
284619.0
Blue59
88368.8
329336.8
703813.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906805010015012559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+30Teleop
+34Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
65Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
32Foul points0
125Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
31.40.1
24.924.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
blue by 5.5
3293
#12
36.81.8
33.832.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
Second
3206
#15
30.00.1
26.226.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
red by 16.7
7038
#54
13.31.8
17.715.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
2846
#25
19.00.1
26.326.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 10.2
8836
#52
8.81.8
11.79.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed