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Red100
214333.8
418123.5
171433.3
Blue84
474130.5
338116.5
286140.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977205015010084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+20Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
78Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
100Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#11
33.81.2
28.129.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
blue by 6.5
2861
#14
40.21.2
25.927.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Second
1714
#22
33.31.2
36.938.1
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1
red by 2.8
4741
#16
30.51.2
25.026.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.5
End2.9
Third
4181
#41
23.51.2
19.020.2
Auto5.1
Teleop17.7
End0.7
red by 7.0
3381
#48
16.51.2
16.217.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed