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Red87
786420.5
565343.5
657433.4
Blue83
590335.4
218125.6
953224.0
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90884060801001201408783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
50Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
87Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#17
43.50.9
28.429.2
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
red by 8.1
5903
#33
35.40.7
28.929.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
Second
6574
#13
33.40.9
31.132.0
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
red by 7.8
2181
#26
25.60.7
24.425.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.8
Third
7864
#32
20.50.9
19.720.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 3.4
9532
#40
24.00.7
23.324.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed