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Red128
465625.9
779722.2
161958.4
Blue89
327728.5
812229.2
329427.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90945015012889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+17Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
14Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points52
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
24Processor points6
12Net points8
36Algae points14
78Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
128Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.45.6
39.144.7
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 29.2
8122
#34
29.20.9
31.232.1
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Second
25.95.6
16.121.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End8.9
blue by 2.6
3277
#31
28.50.9
25.326.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.5
End2.3
Third
7797
#29
22.25.6
22.828.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End3.6
blue by 5.0
3294
#24
27.10.9
24.825.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned