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Red85
326729.2
401117.3
631815.9
Blue160
702847.8
173254.4
252627.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6413705010015020085160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+57
Endgame+69
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points68
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#6
12Processor points30
20Net points24
32Algae points54
75Total teleop122
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points6
85Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3267
#36
29.21.8
19.921.7
Auto4.1
Teleop23.9
End1.2
blue by 25.2
54.43.3
42.545.9
Auto12.2
Teleop35.7
End6.5
Second
4011
#49
17.31.8
24.826.6
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End2.9
blue by 30.5
7028
#20
47.83.3
41.745.0
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
Third
6318
#43
15.91.8
12.514.2
Auto1.7
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 11.7
2526
#42
27.63.3
22.625.9
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned