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Red78
670928.9
284619.0
460745.1
Blue55
451117.9
320630.0
621716.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12081501001507855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
56Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
78Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.12.7
41.138.4
Auto7.1
Teleop35.1
End2.9
red by 15.1
3206
#15
30.02.7
26.323.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.8
End3.6
Second
6709
#23
28.92.7
27.424.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
red by 11.0
4511
#50
17.92.7
19.116.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.5
Third
2846
#25
19.02.7
26.423.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 3.0
6217
#37
16.02.7
25.422.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed