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Red91
638119.0
310043.0
558619.3
Blue141
1049016.9
284762.8
842235.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82103406012014016091141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
6Processor points18
12Net points32
18Algae points50
70Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
91Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#10
43.00.3
26.426.6
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
blue by 19.7
62.83.9
35.038.9
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
Second
5586
#53
19.30.3
25.225.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
blue by 15.8
35.23.9
29.933.7
Auto3.2
Teleop22.8
End9.2
Third
6381
#39
19.00.3
18.618.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End2.9
red by 2.1
16.93.9
20.324.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned