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Red113
418123.5
329336.8
319747.5
Blue37
614743.3
582626.3
282323.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011040608012014016011337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave3
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +42
15Coral scored#6
54Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
72Total teleop30
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
113Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.51.9
31.833.7
Auto7.2
Teleop38.0
End2.3
red by 4.2
43.36.7
42.235.5
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Second
3293
#12
36.81.9
32.034.0
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
red by 10.5
5826
#38
26.36.7
23.917.2
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End2.2
Third
4181
#41
23.51.9
20.222.1
Auto5.1
Teleop17.7
End0.7
red by 0.5
2823
#51
23.06.7
25.719.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed