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Red82
218125.6
851620.8
338116.5
Blue63
953224.0
329124.0
703813.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81682040601001201408263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
60Total teleop23
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points24
82Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#26
25.60.4
25.125.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.8
red by 1.6
3291
#44
24.03.5
21.217.7
Auto2.9
Teleop18.0
End3.1
Second
8516
#28
20.80.4
27.728.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End2.1
blue by 3.2
9532
#40
24.03.5
24.020.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
Third
3381
#48
16.50.4
17.417.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End4.7
red by 3.2
7038
#54
13.33.5
15.912.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed