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Red69
723518.8
329427.1
171433.3
Blue79
467431.4
469316.4
657433.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9984501506979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
46Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
69Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#22
33.32.9
38.135.2
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1
Level
6574
#13
33.40.7
32.031.2
Auto6.0
Teleop21.9
End5.5
Second
3294
#24
27.12.9
25.722.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
blue by 4.2
4674
#18
31.40.7
24.924.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Third
7235
#45
18.82.9
21.218.3
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
red by 2.5
4693
#27
16.40.7
16.816.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned