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Red133
130630.2
87652.2
161958.4
Blue32
642120.7
957816.6
786420.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1367105010015020025013332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+91Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
18Coral scored#4
66Coral points13
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
18Processor points6
12Net points0
30Algae points6
96Total teleop19
Reef
9L4#1
4L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
133Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.9
44.746.6
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 37.7
6421
#47
20.74.1
24.920.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.9
Second
876
#1
52.21.9
45.647.5
Auto8.8
Teleop36.7
End6.7
red by 31.7
7864
#32
20.54.1
20.616.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Third
1306
#19
30.21.9
25.527.4
Auto7.7
Teleop20.3
End2.2
red by 13.6
9578
#35
16.64.1
23.019.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed