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Red180
284762.8
319747.5
310043.0
Blue118
326729.2
702847.8
329336.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211780100140160180180118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+80Teleop
+80Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
29Coral points23
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +74
26Coral scored#14
95Coral points51
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
18Processor points0
24Net points12
42Algae points12
137Total teleop63
Reef
14L4#6
8L3#6
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points18
180Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.89.0
38.947.8
Auto14.1
Teleop40.2
End8.5
red by 15.0
7028
#20
47.80.1
45.044.9
Auto12.5
Teleop27.5
End7.8
Second
47.59.0
33.742.7
Auto7.2
Teleop38.0
End2.3
red by 10.6
3293
#12
36.80.1
34.033.9
Auto5.0
Teleop24.7
End7.2
Third
3100
#10
43.09.0
26.635.6
Auto5.8
Teleop32.1
End5.2
red by 13.9
3267
#36
29.20.1
21.721.6
Auto4.1
Teleop23.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned