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Red92
590335.4
723518.8
565343.5
Blue82
812229.2
670928.9
638119.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84860501001509282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
63Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
92Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
#17
43.51.0
27.328.3
Auto7.5
Teleop32.4
End3.6
red by 14.3
8122
#34
29.20.0
31.031.0
Auto5.1
Teleop18.1
End6.0
Second
5903
#33
35.41.0
28.629.5
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End7.0
red by 6.5
6709
#23
28.90.0
24.624.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Third
7235
#45
18.81.0
18.319.2
Auto1.6
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 0.2
6381
#39
19.00.0
18.818.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned