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Red66
329427.1
703813.3
469316.4
Blue112
614743.3
286140.2
88368.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598905010015066112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
41Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
66Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3294
#24
27.10.1
22.722.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.1
End7.1
blue by 16.1
43.33.1
35.538.6
Auto10.6
Teleop25.0
End7.7
Second
4693
#27
16.40.1
16.116.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 23.8
2861
#14
40.23.1
28.031.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Third
7038
#54
13.30.1
12.512.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 4.5
8836
#52
8.83.1
8.811.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned