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Red79
786420.5
252627.6
214333.8
Blue136
171433.3
327728.5
957816.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819520406012014016079136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
66Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points18
79Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#11
33.80.8
30.129.3
Auto5.4
Teleop26.0
End2.4
red by 0.4
1714
#22
33.32.5
35.237.7
Auto8.1
Teleop25.2
End0.1
Second
2526
#42
27.60.8
25.925.1
Auto3.9
Teleop21.5
End2.1
blue by 0.9
3277
#31
28.52.5
27.029.5
Auto4.7
Teleop21.5
End2.3
Third
7864
#32
20.50.8
16.515.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 3.9
9578
#35
16.62.5
19.021.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed