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Red51
761926.4
558619.3
467431.4
Blue82
338116.5
161958.4
953224.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90980501502005182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
28Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
51Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#18
31.43.1
24.221.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.3
End7.6
blue by 27.0
58.40.7
46.645.9
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Second
7619
#21
26.43.1
26.723.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.5
End4.0
red by 2.4
9532
#40
24.00.7
20.519.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.7
End1.9
Third
5586
#53
19.33.1
25.522.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 2.8
3381
#48
16.50.7
17.917.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned